Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 33

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Ludogorets II		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.63	3.01	2.49
	2.64	3.01	2.49
	2.65	3.28	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.29)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	2.52 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets II
34.1%

Draw
29.7%

Spartak Varna
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28.5%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.9%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets II's performance.

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Varna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Varna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ludogorets II - Spartak Varna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Stoimenov Z. (G) 53. Gospodinov D. 58. Iliev D. 72. Ivanov R. (C) 83. Ivanov R. 74. Kelyovluev H. 97. Naydenov V. 63. Pemperski A. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 93. Yordanov Y.	89. Videnov N. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 2. Boev V. 13. Ivanov G. 14. Ivey R. 11. Mitev V. (C) 45. Nachev D. 8. Petrov T. 31. Semeniv D. 4. Terziev R. 6. Tsvetkov A.
Substitutes
76. Dimitrov K. 45. Iliev D. 62. Ivanov D. 34. Kostadinov B. 59. Lukanov A. 35. Marinov A. 29. Nikolov N. 68. Valentinov V. (G)	7. Babaliev G. 23. Georgiev G. (G) 99. Halachev D. 18. Hyusein H. 9. Mehmed M. 78. Minkov V. 3. Petrov P. 22. Yanchev A. 81. Zehirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 🟨,
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
86', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Recent matches Ludogorets II is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spartak Varna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.05.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Ludogorets II	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ludogorets II - Yantra Gabrovo	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Sportist Svoge - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
08.04.24	Ludogorets II - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLT
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.05.24	Spartak Varna - Lovech	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Chernomorets Balchik - Spartak Varna	4:1 ✺
27.04.24	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.11.23	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	4:0
02.04.22	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	0:1
18.09.21	Ludogorets II - Spartak Varna	2:1
02.03.20	Ludogorets II - Spartak Varna	1:0
12.08.19	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	0:2

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