Match Info

Date: 10 December 2021, Friday


	Mariupol		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.6	1.44
	6	4.2	1.43
	5.4	4.5	1.43
	6.55	4.72	1.46
	6.5	4.2	1.42
	6.15	4.8	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (5.35)	4.5 ↑ (4.2)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariupol
15.1%

Draw
20.5%

Dnipro-1
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

22.7%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

19.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariupol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dnipro-1 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mariupol - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Mariupol is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dnipro-1 in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dnipro-1 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dnipro-1 is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mariupol won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariupol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mariupol
Ukrainian Premier League
05.12.21	Desna Chernihiv - Mariupol	3:3 ✺
26.11.21	Mariupol - Lviv	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Vorskla Poltava - Mariupol	5:1 ✺
06.11.21	Mynai - Mariupol	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Mariupol - Dynamo Kyiv	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLWL
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.21	Dnipro-1 - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
01.12.21	LNZ Cherkasy - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
27.11.21	Dnipro-1 - Vorskla Poltava	5:1 ✺
20.11.21	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	3:1 ✺
07.11.21	Inhulets - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
07.08.21	Dnipro-1 - Mariupol	2:1
27.02.21	Mariupol - Dnipro-1	2:2
18.09.20	Dnipro-1 - Mariupol	1:2
28.06.20	Mariupol - Dnipro-1	2:1
14.03.20	Dnipro-1 - Mariupol	2:0
08.03.20	Dnipro-1 - Mariupol	3:0
20.10.19	Mariupol - Dnipro-1	1:0

Mariupol - Dnipro-1: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide