Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Mariupol		Olimpik Donetsk

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.15	3.2	3.15
	2.16	3.15	3.05
	2.28	3.36	3.25
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.21	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.4)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)	3.15 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariupol
42.2%

Draw
28.5%

Olimpik Donetsk
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

20.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Olimpik Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariupol than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariupol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpik Donetsk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpik Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mariupol - Olimpik Donetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mariupol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpik has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olimpik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mariupol have a series of home games.

Mariupol will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mariupol won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariupol won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mariupol
Ukrainian Premier League
10.04.21	Mariupol - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
03.04.21	Mariupol - Inhulets	4:3 ✺
20.03.21	Mariupol - Mynai	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka	1:4 ✺
06.03.21	Mariupol - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL
- Olimpik Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
11.04.21	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Desna Chernihiv - Olimpik Donetsk	2:0 ✺
20.03.21	Vorskla Poltava - Olimpik Donetsk	3:0 ✺
14.03.21	Oleksandriya - Olimpik Donetsk	2:0 ✺
06.03.21	Olimpik Donetsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
07.11.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Mariupol	3:3
12.07.20	Mariupol - Olimpik Donetsk	1:4
07.06.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Mariupol	2:2
14.12.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Mariupol	1:2
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.19	Mariupol - Olimpik Donetsk	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
15.09.19	Mariupol - Olimpik Donetsk	1:1
23.02.19	Mariupol - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1

Mariupol - Olimpik Donetsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide