Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Mariupol		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3	2.85
	2.38	2.85	3.05
	2.4	2.85	2.95
	2.61	2.85	3.22
	2.45	3	3
	2.42	2.91	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	3 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariupol
38.1%

Draw
31.2%

Inhulets
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

22%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariupol than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariupol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inhulets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mariupol - Inhulets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mariupol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Inhulets is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Mariupol have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mariupol won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariupol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mariupol
Ukrainian Premier League
20.03.21	Mariupol - Mynai	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka	1:4 ✺
06.03.21	Mariupol - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
27.02.21	Mariupol - Dnipro-1	2:2 ✺
20.02.21	Mariupol - Zorya Luhansk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
21.03.21	Inhulets - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
13.03.21	Mynai - Inhulets	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
26.02.21	Desna Chernihiv - Inhulets	3:0 ✺
21.02.21	Inhulets - Vorskla Poltava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.20	Inhulets - Mariupol	1:1
Ukrainian Cup
31.10.18	Inhulets - Mariupol	3:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.11.16	Inhulets - Mariupol	1:1
05.08.16	Mariupol - Inhulets	1:0

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