Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium (Kampala)


	Maroons		NEC FC

	1	X	2
	3.21	2.81	2.27
	3.11	3.10	2.23	Watch
	3.08	3.18	2.26
	3.1	2.8	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.98)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.25 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maroons
29%

Draw
30.5%

NEC FC
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.9%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.9%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+2%)

Maroons - NEC FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 0, Asaba I. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Ajo E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

NEC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

NEC will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maroons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
25.11.25	Maroons - Lugazi Municipal	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Vipers - Maroons	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Maroons - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Police - Maroons	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Maroons - Calvary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLT
- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
25.11.25	NEC FC - Calvary	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Villa - NEC FC	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	NEC FC - Bul	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Entebbe UPPC - NEC FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
14.03.25	Maroons - NEC FC	1:3
18.10.24	NEC FC - Maroons	2:1
13.03.24	NEC FC - Maroons	2:1
11.11.23	Maroons - NEC FC	0:1

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