Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)


	NEC FC		Calvary

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.16	5.47	15.57
	1.25	5.34	11.2
	1.1	5.75	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.45)	5.08 ↑ (4)	13.32 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC FC
74.6%

Draw
18.4%

Calvary
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

16.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC FC's performance.

Calvary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvary than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

NEC FC - Calvary Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NEC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Calvary (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: NEC FC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. NEC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Calvary (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Waibi C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

NEC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Calvary is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, NEC is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
20.11.25	Villa - NEC FC	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	NEC FC - Bul	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Entebbe UPPC - NEC FC	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	NEC FC - Police	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLT
- FC Calvary
Ugandan Super League
19.11.25	Calvary - UPDF	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Calvary - Entebbe UPPC	2:4 ✺
31.10.25	Kampala City Council - Calvary	4:2 ✺
22.10.25	Maroons - Calvary	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Buhimba United Saints - Calvary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL

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