Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport, Watania 2


	Marsa		Métlaoui

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	5.15
	1.69	3.4	5.46
	2.02	3.17	3.54	Watch
	1.64	3.26	5.54
	2.03	3.08	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.02)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)	4.65 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
51.4%

Draw
28.6%

Métlaoui
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

Métlaoui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Métlaoui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Métlaoui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marsa - Métlaoui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Helal S. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 5. Arfaoui Y. 28. Ben Hamida A. 2. Chaouch M. 15. Gneba R. 9. Hadhri A. 17. Jebali O. 6. Karoui O. 29. Neji F. 11. Traidi O.	27. Ben C. H. (G) 5. Bahri O. 29. Diame Pape M. 10. Hajji B. 26. Hssine M. 9. Kachouri M. 8. Kouassi E. 21. Meskini F. 11. Ouled Behi A. 19. Soltani Y. 20. Sylla N.
Substitutes
1. Abessi B. (G) 4. El Islem T. 7. Hammami K. 3. Hichri H. 10. Jouini A. 30. Kalu G. 27. Khaloui M. 18. Mansour H. 19. Zouari Y.	13. Bangoura A. 7. Ben Salem Z. 4. Bouani S. 17. Hermes I. 14. Nana B. 1. Tlili K. (G) 33. Traore D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Diame Pape M. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Ouled Behi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Neji F. ↓, Khaloui M. ↑,
62', Gneba R. ↓, Kalu G. ↑,
63', Kachouri M. ↓, Ben Salem Z. ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Hadhri A. ↓, Jouini A. ↑,
80', Hajji B. ↓, Bangoura A. ↑,
83', Ben Salem Z. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Marsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.10.25	Olympique Béja - Marsa	0:6 ✺
01.10.25	Marsa - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
24.09.25	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	1:0 ✺
18.09.25	Marsa - Soliman	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	JS Kairouan - Marsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWL
- Métlaoui
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
03.10.25	Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Olympique Béja - Métlaoui	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Métlaoui - Club Africain	1:0 ✺
16.09.25	Espérance ST - Métlaoui	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Métlaoui - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.05.24	Marsa - Métlaoui	1:0
18.02.24	Métlaoui - Marsa	3:1
03.01.24	Métlaoui - Marsa	0:1
22.10.23	Marsa - Métlaoui	1:1
26.11.16	Métlaoui - Marsa	1:0
08.09.16	Marsa - Métlaoui	0:1
10.04.16	Métlaoui - Marsa	1:0

Marsa - Métlaoui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide