Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Senglea Athletic		Marsa

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.4	2.95	2.42
	2.8	3.18	2.36
	2.8	3.2	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.38)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.33 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senglea Athletic
33%

Draw
28.5%

Marsa
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senglea Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Senglea Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Senglea is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marsa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Senglea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Senglea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
10.02.24	Melita - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Senglea Athletic - Attard	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Senglea Athletic - Melita	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Senglea Athletic - Fgura United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWT
- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.02.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Marsa - Luqa St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	St. Andrews - Marsa	1:4 ✺
21.01.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.24	Santa Lucia - Marsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
24.09.23	Marsa - Senglea Athletic	2:1
19.02.22	Senglea Athletic - Marsa	3:5
02.04.17	Marsa - Senglea Athletic	0:3

Senglea Athletic - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide