The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melita 24.7%
Draw 24.6%
Żabbar St. Patrick 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
25.8%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
24.9%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melita's form might have worsened.
Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Żabbar St. Patrick's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Żabbar St. Patrick, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Lubik A. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 6. Attard J. P. (C) 25. Barone G. 26. Bondin K. 11. Borg O. A. 77. Martinez S. 7. Mohnani K. 27. Sanchez C. 3. Simanca A. 19. Yepez J.
1. Camilleri L. (G) 10. Gambarte B. (C) 14. Iervolino A. 11. Ilic S. 21. Jovancic S. 55. Jovicic D. 95. Marcelo Santos 5. Micallef J. 17. Pisani J. 28. Vinicius Paiva 8. Wallace Bonilha
Substitutes
17. Abela J. 2. Aquilina A. 8. Attard A. 18. Attard E. 5. Cachia M. 10. Debattista M. 24. Grima G. 22. Gyamfi C. 15. Micallef J. 1. Mizzi G. (G) 23. Testaferrata P. G.
16. Akpan E. I. 2. Buhagiar K. 22. Davey I. 32. Djodj L. (G) 29. Fava D. 9. Gatt S. 13. Grech Z. 24. Haber J. (G) 31. Joao Pedro 7. Micallef L. 23. Zammit G.
Coaches
Mizzi C.
Parisi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Borg O. A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Barone G. ⚽,
45', Simanca A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Marcelo Santos (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wallace Bonilha ↓, Grech Z. ↑,
58', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
66', Bondin K. ↓, Debattista M. ↑,
72', Micallef J. 🟨,
73', Pisani J. 🟨,
79', Micallef J. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
79', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Gatt S. ↑,
83', Jovicic D. 🟨,
90+1', Grech Z. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
Recent matches Melita is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Żabbar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Żabbar will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Melita won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Melita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
Malta
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Lubik A. (G) 
Andre Carlos 
Attard J. P. (C) 
Martinez S. 
Yepez J. 
Gambarte B. (C) 
Iervolino A. 
Ilic S. 
Jovicic D. 
Gyamfi C. 
Djodj L. (G) 
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