Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday


	Mqabba		Marsaskala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.3
	2.6	3.45	2.2
	2.74	3.59	2.27
	2.88	3.2	2.15
	2.69	3.54	2.25
	2.65	3.55	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.5)	3.43 ↑ (3)	2.24 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mqabba
33.4%

Draw
26.3%

Marsaskala
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mqabba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Marsaskala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaskala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mqabba than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaskala than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsaskala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	35.3%	35.3%

Mqabba - Marsaskala Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mqabba will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Marsaskala will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marsaskala: 12.6% – 58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Mqabba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marsaskala is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marsaskala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mqabba FC
Maltese Challenge League
19.12.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Mqabba	1:2 ✺
14.12.22	Mqabba - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Swieqi United - Mqabba	5:5 ✺
03.12.22	Mqabba - Lija Athletic	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Melita - Mqabba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTLL
- Marsaskala FC
Maltese Challenge League
18.12.22	Marsaskala - Zejtun Corinthians	0:1 ✺
15.12.22	Qrendi - Marsaskala	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Marsaskala - Marsa	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Sliema Wanderers - Marsaskala	5:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
20.11.22	Kercem Ajax - Marsaskala	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLL

Mqabba - Marsaskala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide