Match Info

Druga NL - Round 27

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Marsonia		Bjelovar

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.2	1.58
	4.34	4.09	1.58
	4.8	4.15	1.54
	4.4	4.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.47)	4.16 ↑ (3.92)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsonia
20.3%

Draw
21.8%

Bjelovar
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

23.1%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.5%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Marsonia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsonia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Marsonia - Bjelovar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Marsonia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bjelovar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bjelovar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Marsonia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bjelovar is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bjelovar will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Marsonia
Croatian Druga NL
02.05.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Marsonia	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Marsonia	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Marsonia - Hrvace	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Dugo Selo - Marsonia	4:0 ✺
21.03.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Marsonia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
03.05.25	Bjelovar - Solin	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jadran Poreč - Bjelovar	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Bjelovar - Trnje Zagreb	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Karlovac - Bjelovar	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Grobničan - Bjelovar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
09.11.24	Bjelovar - Marsonia	4:0
25.05.24	Marsonia - Bjelovar	0:2
17.11.23	Bjelovar - Marsonia	2:2
07.05.23	Bjelovar - Marsonia	2:0
29.10.22	Marsonia - Bjelovar	0:2

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