Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Rene Fenouillere (Avranches)


	Avranches		Red Star

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.71
	4.33	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.29	3.5	1.82
	4.48	3.57	1.84
	4	3.5	1.73
	4.2	3.64	1.77	Watch
	4	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (2.74)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	1.77 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
21.9%

Draw
26.1%

Red Star
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

26.3%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avranches's form might have worsened.

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avranches, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avranches - Red Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mensah C. (G) 3. Fofana S. 11. Jean D. 20. Kerouedan A. 2. Launay B. 4. Lemeray M. 7. Nsimba S. 14. Pierre L. 25. Pi J. 5. Rabuel M. 24. Tertereau A.	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 29. Benali H. 17. Botella I. 11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 8. Eickmayer J. 5. Gozzi P. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. 2. Meyapya B.
Substitutes
23. Daguin V. 10. Magnon P. 21. Remars M. 6. Smith J. 18. Tshipamba I. 40. Udin T. (G)	27. Anani A. 35. Doucoure R. 7. Durand D. 21. El Hriti A. 25. Ndoye C.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avranches won 1.

Avranches is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Red Star is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Red Star could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Avranches won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
23.02.24	Orleans - Avranches	3:1 ✺
16.02.24	Avranches - Versailles	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Nîmes - Avranches	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Avranches - Dijon	1:4 ✺
19.01.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Avranches	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
27.02.24	Red Star - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Red Star - Le Mans	4:1 ✺
19.02.24	Rouen FC - Red Star	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Red Star - Martigues	2:0 ✺
02.02.24	Sochaux - Red Star	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.09.23	Red Star - Avranches	3:0
24.02.23	Red Star - Avranches	1:2
16.09.22	Avranches - Red Star	1:1
18.03.22	Red Star - Avranches	2:1
08.10.21	Avranches - Red Star	0:6
27.03.21	Avranches - Red Star	1:0
24.11.20	Red Star - Avranches	1:0

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