Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Maruinense		Frei Paulistano

	1	X	2
	11	9	1.1
	10	8.4	1.12
	10.61	9.28	1.12
	15.25	10.75	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.72 ↑ (1.93)	9.36 ↑ (3.4)	1.11 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maruinense
7.8%

Draw
9.7%

Frei Paulistano
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

20.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maruinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maruinense's form might have worsened.

Frei Paulistano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+56.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frei Paulistano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maruinense than the current prediction. (+54.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maruinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (-62.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frei Paulistano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	11.5%	53.8%

Maruinense - Frei Paulistano Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Maruinense will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Frei Paulistano will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frei Paulistano: 34.6% – 73%.

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Preview

Recent matches Maruinense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frei Paulistano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Maruinense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Frei Paulistano is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maruinense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Maruinense
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
27.03.21	Sergipe - Maruinense	3:0 ✺
23.03.21	Maruinense - Atlético Gloriense	5:3 ✺
20.03.21	Itabaiana - Maruinense	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Maruinense - América Pedrinhas	7:2 ✺
03.03.21	Frei Paulistano - Maruinense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWT
- AD Frei Paulistano
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
31.03.21	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	1:3 ✺
21.03.21	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	2:0 ✺
06.03.21	Lagarto - Frei Paulistano	4:1 ✺
03.03.21	Frei Paulistano - Maruinense	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Boca Júnior - Frei Paulistano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.03.21	Frei Paulistano - Maruinense	0:0

Maruinense - Frei Paulistano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide