Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 8 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Thohoyandou Stadium (Thohoyandou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Marumo Gallants		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.65	2.85	2.6
	2.42	2.73	2.65
	2.5	2.9	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.13	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.66 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marumo Gallants
35.6%

Draw
30.4%

USM Alger
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

31.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marumo Gallants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Marumo Gallants - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Marumo Gallants will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). USM Alger will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marumo Gallants: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Marumo Gallants is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

USM Alger is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

USM Alger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marumo Gallants will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marumo Gallants won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marumo Gallants
South African Premier Soccer League
05.03.23	Marumo Gallants - TS Galaxy	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
02.03.23	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:3 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
26.02.23	USM Alger - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Saint-Éloi Lupopo - Marumo Gallants	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Marumo Gallants - Al Akhdar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLLWW
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
03.03.23	El Bayadh - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
26.02.23	USM Alger - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Al Akhdar - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	USM Alger - Saint-Éloi Lupopo	3:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
08.02.23	USM Alger - Arbaâ	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
26.02.23	USM Alger - Marumo Gallants	2:0

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