Match Info

Diski Challenge - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Marumo Gallants U23		Orlando Pirates U23

	1	X	2
	4.17	3.57	1.71
	4.36	3.64	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.7
	4.69	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (4.82)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marumo Gallants U23
20.6%

Draw
25.9%

Orlando Pirates U23
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

25.3%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

24%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marumo Gallants U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Orlando Pirates U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marumo Gallants U23 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates U23 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orlando Pirates U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marumo Gallants U23 - Orlando Pirates U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marumo Gallants U23 won 0.

Marumo Gallants U23 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orlando Pirates U23 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orlando Pirates U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Orlando Pirates U23 is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marumo Gallants U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Marumo Gallants U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Orlando Pirates U23	3	1	0	2	7:6	1	3
13	Marumo Gallants U23	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marumo Gallants U23
South African Diski Challenge
22.02.26	Marumo Gallants U23 - Golden Arrows U23	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Magesi U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Chippa United U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	2:5 ✺
01.02.26	Marumo Gallants U23 - AmaZulu U23	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Marumo Gallants U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWLW
- Orlando Pirates U23
South African Diski Challenge
21.02.26	Orlando Pirates U23 - Polokwane U23	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	TS Galaxy U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Orlando Pirates U23 - Sekhukhune United U23	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Durban City U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Orlando Pirates U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Diski Challenge
17.01.26	Orlando Pirates U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	2:0
25.01.25	Orlando Pirates U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	1:0
15.04.23	Marumo Gallants U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	0:0
05.11.22	Orlando Pirates U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	4:1
24.04.22	Marumo Gallants U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	0:4
27.04.21	Orlando Pirates U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	1:2

Marumo Gallants U23 - Orlando Pirates U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide