Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Bento de Abreu (Sao Paulo)


	Marília		Sertãozinho

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.96	3.01	4.09	Watch
	1.94	2.95	4.09
	1.95	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.95 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marília
46.8%

Draw
30%

Sertãozinho
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Marília - Sertãozinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Guilherme Cafe 🟥,
39', 1 - 0, Dudu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Marília is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sertãozinho is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marília will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marília won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Marília won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
29.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Marília - União São João	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	União São João - Marília	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Marília - Rio Branco de Americana	3:3 ✺
09.03.25	Francana - Marília	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTW
- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
29.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Sertãozinho - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Catanduva - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sertãozinho - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Rio Preto - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
29.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	2:0
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
13.08.22	Sertãozinho - Marília	1:1
09.07.22	Marília - Sertãozinho	2:0

Marília - Sertãozinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide