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Current Win Probability
Mashal Mubarek 36.3%
Draw 29.1%
Shurtan Guzar 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
27.4%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
26.6%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mashal Mubarek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mashal Mubarek's performance.
Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shurtan Guzar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mashal Mubarek that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shurtan Guzar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Mashal Mubarek - Shurtan Guzar Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mashal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shurtan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Mashal (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mashal (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khamroev U. (G) 20. Ismoilov E. 5. Ochilov S. 37. Fayziev S. 27. Akramov Z. 80. Yashin D. 7. Baratov I. 8. Abduraymov S. 57. Umar A. 10. Murtazoev K. 17. Murodov A.
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 6. Abdumazhidov O. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 17. Mukhtorov F. 8. Turdialiev A. 15. Mannonov J. 24. Narzullaev D. 11. Khakimov J. 9. Kholdorkhonov P. 10. Mamasidikov T.
Substitutes
75. Hamroyev K. (G) 34. Juraev S. 77. Khasanov J. 4. Maga A. 24. Mamatkhodzhaev A. 22. Muzaffarov N. 13. Nuriddinov N. 23. Saitmuratov E. 19. Sharipov I.
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 70. Jumaev M. 76. Kenzhaboev I. 19. Khasanov N. 45. Kodirov G. 33. Rahmatov B. 22. Sadulloev S. 7. Suvonov B. 14. Toshkuziev A.
Coaches
Narzullayev O.
Moyliyev E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Ochilov S. ⚽, Ismoilov E. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Murtazoev K. ⚽, Umar A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Turdialiev A. ↓, Rahmatov B. ↑,
46', Mukhtorov F. ↓, Kenzhaboev I. ↑,
53', Khamroev U. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Kholdorkhonov P. (Pen),
73', Khakimov J. ↓, Kodirov G. ↑,
73', Mannonov J. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
74', Umar A. ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
89', Akramov Z. 🟨,
89', Akramov Z. ↓, Nuriddinov N. ↑,
89', Murtazoev K. ↓, Sharipov I. ↑,
90+3', Abduraymov S. ↓, Juraev S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 5.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Mashal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
Uzbekistan
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Khamroev U. (G) 
Yashin D. 
Umar A. 
Maga A. 
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