The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo Samarqand 66.7%
Draw 20.3%
Shurtan Guzar 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
23.3%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
23%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Samarqand's performance.
Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Samarqand that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Dinamo Samarqand - Shurtan Guzar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Nemanov E. (G) 21. Abdusalomov J. 16. Friday R. 20. Jumaboev J. 10. Khozhimirzaev A. 8. Kodirkulov S. 18. Kucherenko O. 77. Makhamadzhonov M. 55. Pletnev D. 7. Ratinho 6. Urozov J.
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 6. Abdumazhidov O. 70. Jumaev M. 76. Kenzhaboev I. 9. Kholdorkhonov P. 10. Mamasidikov T. 24. Narzullaev D. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 33. Rahmatov B. 22. Sadulloev S. 14. Toshkuziev A.
Substitutes
4. Abdirasulov A. 22. Abdullaev U. 37. Abdurakhmonov F. 11. Khalilov K. 14. Nasimov B. 23. Oblakulov B. 88. Stanojevic M. 25. Urmonjonov O. 13. Yagudin R. (G)
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 88. Asomiddinov D. 11. Khakimov J. 45. Kodirov G. 15. Mannonov J. 99. Saidov S. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 8. Turdialiev A. 27. Tursunkulov C.
Coaches
Abramov V.
Moyliyev E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Khozhimirzaev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Friday R. ↓, Oblakulov B. ↑,
46', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Urmonjonov O. ↑,
62', Rahmatov B. ↓, Tursunkulov C. ↑,
62', Narzullaev D. ↓, Turdialiev A. ↑,
73', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Kodirov G. ↑,
73', Abdusalomov J. ↓, Khalilov K. ↑,
73', Pletnev D. ↓, Stanojevic M. ↑,
76', Tursunkulov C. 🟨,
85', Khozhimirzaev A. ↓, Nasimov B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Oblakulov B. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 3.
In recent matches, Dinamo Samarqand has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shurtan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Shurtan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Dinamo Samarqand is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Samarqand won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Samarqand won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
Watch
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Nemanov E. (G) 
Friday R. 
Kucherenko O. 
Pletnev D. 
Ratinho 
Stanojevic M. 
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