Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Guzar (Guzar)

Referee: Khudoyberganov A. (Uzb)


	Shurtan Guzar		Navbahor Namangan

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	4.55	3.45	1.65
	3.13	3.49	2.17
	1.91	3.75	3.42	Watch
	5.03	3.58	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (4.33)	3.49 ↓ (3.8)	2.21 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shurtan Guzar
27.8%

Draw
27.9%

Navbahor Namangan
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

24.2%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.1%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shurtan Guzar's performance.

Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navbahor Namangan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shurtan Guzar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navbahor Namangan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Shurtan Guzar - Navbahor Namangan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Navbahor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Shurtan (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Navbahor Namangan will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shurtan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Navbahor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 15. Mannonov J. 6. Abdumazhidov O. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 19. Khasanov N. 8. Turdialiev A. 33. Rahmatov B. 24. Narzullaev D. (C) 9. Kholdorkhonov P. 10. Mamasidikov T.	1. Ergashev U. (G) 99. Higor Gabriel 5. Julio Cesar 36. Guilherme Guedes 12. Mirsaidov S. 70. Gulomov A. 14. Boltaboev J. 19. Gofurov M. (C) 17. Jiyanov R. 29. Pedro 11. Giyosov M.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 21. Ibrakhimov M. 11. Khakimov J. 45. Kodirov G. 17. Mukhtorov F. 22. Sadulloev S. 99. Saidov S. 7. Suvonov B. 14. Toshkuziev A.	24. Abdulkhaev D. 7. Akhmedov A. 22. Joraboev A. 8. Komilov S. 32. Mo'ydinov M. 33. Sodikov J. 13. Teidi B. 55. Tozhidinov K. 16. Yuldashev S. (G)
Coaches
Moyliyev E.	Lushchan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Narzullaev D. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Pedro ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Narzullaev D. ⚽, Rahmatov B. (A),
36', Mannonov J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mannonov J. ↓, Sadulloev S. ↑,
46', Khasanov N. ↓, Ibrakhimov M. ↑,
46', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
50', Higor Gabriel ↓, Komilov S. ↑,
53', Turdialiev A. 🟨,
56', Narzullaev D. 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Pedro ⚽, Komilov S. (A),
68', Gofurov M. ↓, Mo'ydinov M. ↑,
69', Rahmatov B. ↓, Mukhtorov F. ↑,
72', Mo'ydinov M. 🟥,
73', Komilov S. 🟨,
76', Pedro ↓, Joraboev A. ↑,
76', Giyosov M. ↓, Sodikov J. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Gulomov A. ⚽,
84', Turdialiev A. ↓, Khakimov J. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 1.

Shurtan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Navbahor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Navbahor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shurtan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League
16.08.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Shurtan Guzar	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Shurtan Guzar - Kokand 1912	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Bunyodkor - Shurtan Guzar	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Shurtan Guzar - Xorazm Urganch	1:3 ✺
03.07.25	Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLL
- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek League
16.08.25	Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Andijan - Navbahor Namangan	0:1 ✺
06.08.25	Navbahor Namangan - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Navbahor Namangan	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
11.04.25	Navbahor Namangan - Shurtan Guzar	2:0
21.09.17	Shurtan Guzar - Navbahor Namangan	3:3
22.04.17	Navbahor Namangan - Shurtan Guzar	1:0
25.08.16	Shurtan Guzar - Navbahor Namangan	3:2
26.06.15	Navbahor Namangan - Shurtan Guzar	4:2
20.06.13	Navbahor Namangan - Shurtan Guzar	0:1

Shurtan Guzar - Navbahor Namangan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide