Match Info

Super League - Round 1

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Istiqlol Stadium (Fergana)

Referee: Risqullaev A. (Uzb)


	Neftchi Fargona		Mashal Mubarek

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.35	8.1
	1.24	5.49	13.73
	1.22	5.26	12.76	Watch
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.34	4.53	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	4.73 ↑ (4.48)	10.56 ↑ (8.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Fargona
71.6%

Draw
19.6%

Mashal Mubarek
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

20.4%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Mashal Mubarek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 6. Yuldoshev I. 4. Ciger B. 20. Gofurov A. (C) 21. Ubaydullaev M. 7. Ismoilov A. 23. Djokic J. 8. Jovovic V. 10. Iskanderov J. 22. Odilov A. 18. Perica S.	35. Tukhtaboev D. (G) 28. Ismoilov E. 69. Khadzhiev R. 15. Alikulov M. 2. Akramov Z. 5. Ochilov S. 8. Abduraymov S. 10. Murtazoev K. (C) 14. Abubakar R. 9. Ganikhonov I. 97. Chidi A.
Substitutes
30. Fomin R. 9. Giyosov K. 11. Jumaev A. 32. Marusic Z. 2. Pulatov I. 77. Ratinho 34. Sayfiev F. 14. Tukhsanov D. 45. Turaev A. (G)	18. Abdulkhakov I. 27. Alokhodzhaev M. 99. Ayagwa R. 37. Fayziev S. 17. Murodov A. 22. Muzaffarov N. 13. Nuriddinov N. 1. Soyibov A. (G)
Coaches
Ismoilov I.	Surov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Ismoilov E. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Perica S. ⚽, Jovovic V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Alikulov M. 🟨,
57', Abduraymov S. 🟨,
67', Odilov A. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
67', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
71', Murtazoev K. ↓, Nuriddinov N. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Marusic Z. ⚽,
86', Iskanderov J. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
90+1', Gofurov A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3.

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	23	16	4	3	52:19	33	52
16	Mashal Muborak	22	1	1	20	11:44	-33	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Fargona
Club Friendly
12.01.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Fargona	5:0 ✺
Uzbek League
30.11.25	Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTW
- Mashal Mubarek
Uzbek League
05.12.25	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	1:0 penalties ✺
30.11.25	AGMK - Mashal Mubarek	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mashal Mubarek - Navbahor Namangan	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Mashal Mubarek	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Mashal Mubarek - Kokand 1912	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
21.08.25	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	3:0
Uzbek Cup
24.06.25	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	0:1
Uzbek League
11.04.25	Mashal Mubarek - Neftchi Fargona	1:4
19.11.17	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	2:1
19.06.17	Mashal Mubarek - Neftchi Fargona	2:2
09.09.16	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	1:2
18.04.15	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	1:0

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