Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Matelica		Imolese

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.33
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.28	2.85	3.05
	2.28	2.99	3.35
	2.35	2.88	3.3
	2.12	3.26	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.67)	3.08 ↓ (3.59)	3.4 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matelica
43.1%

Draw
29.9%

Imolese
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

17.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matelica's form might have worsened.

Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imolese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matelica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Matelica - Imolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Matelica is Qualified for Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs

Matelica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Imolese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Matelica will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Matelica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
25.04.21	Perugia - Matelica	2:0 ✺
18.04.21	Matelica - Fano	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Carpi - Matelica	4:1 ✺
03.04.21	Matelica - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Gubbio - Matelica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWL
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
25.04.21	Imolese - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Cesena - Imolese	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Imolese - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
03.04.21	Vis Pesaro - Imolese	2:1 ✺
27.03.21	Imolese - Perugia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.01.21	Imolese - Matelica	2:0

Matelica - Imolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide