Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Carpi		Matelica

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.4	2.85	2.9
	2.24	2.85	3.1
	2.31	3.07	3.31
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.25	3.2	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.78)	3 ↓ (3.02)	3.13 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
40.2%

Draw
30.5%

Matelica
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

22.7%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carpi's performance.

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matelica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matelica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carpi - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Carpi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matelica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carpi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.21	Gubbio - Carpi	0:4 ✺
28.03.21	Carpi - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Triestina - Carpi	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	Perugia - Carpi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLL
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.21	Matelica - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Gubbio - Matelica	3:0 ✺
21.03.21	Matelica - Fermana	5:1 ✺
17.03.21	Cesena - Matelica	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Matelica - Padova	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.01.21	Matelica - Carpi	1:0

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