Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Matelica		Fano

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6
	2.1	2.7	3.75
	2.1	2.6	4
	2.05	2.75	3.75
	2.05	2.79	3.96
	2.05	2.9	4
	2.05	2.99	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.81)	2.85 ↓ (3.23)	3.84 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matelica
44.3%

Draw
32%

Fano
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matelica's form might have worsened.

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matelica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matelica - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Recent matches Matelica is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matelica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Matelica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Carpi - Matelica	4:1 ✺
03.04.21	Matelica - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Gubbio - Matelica	3:0 ✺
21.03.21	Matelica - Fermana	5:1 ✺
17.03.21	Cesena - Matelica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWT
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Fano - Modena	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	FeralpiSalò - Fano	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Fano - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Virtus Verona - Fano	3:1 ✺
17.03.21	Fano - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.20	Fano - Matelica	1:2

Matelica - Fano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide