Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 30

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Matera		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3	3.63
	1.98	3.24	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.87)	3.11 ↓ (3.22)	3.6 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matera
45.8%

Draw
29.1%

Afragolese
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26.7%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Matera is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Afragolese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Matera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Matera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Matera
Italian Serie D - Group H
02.04.23	Altamura - Matera	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Matera - Nocerina	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Città di Brindisi - Matera	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Matera - Martina Calcio	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Casarano - Matera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTL
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
02.04.23	Afragolese - Puteolana	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Altamura - Afragolese	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Afragolese - Barletta	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Afragolese - Città di Brindisi	0:4 ✺
26.02.23	Lavello - Afragolese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
27.11.22	Afragolese - Matera	2:2

Matera - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide