Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Lavello		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.21	2.99	3.08
	2.34	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (3.14)	2.99 ↑ (2.97)	3.05 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavello
40.1%

Draw
30.2%

Afragolese
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

29.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

30.6%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lavello's performance.

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afragolese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lavello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afragolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lavello - Afragolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).

Lavello is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Afragolese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lavello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.02.23	Molfetta - Lavello	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Lavello - Città di Brindisi	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Nardo - Lavello	4:0 ✺
29.01.23	Lavello - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Casarano - Lavello	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.02.23	Afragolese - Casarano	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Nocerina - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Afragolese - Gravina	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Martina Calcio - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Afragolese - Francavilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.10.22	Afragolese - Lavello	1:1

Lavello - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide