Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	Mathare United		Wazito

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.65	2.8	2.7
	2.65	2.75	2.65
	2.77	2.74	2.78
	2.62	2.88	2.62
	2.64	3.02	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.26)	2.85 ↓ (3)	2.67 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
34.2%

Draw
31.8%

Wazito
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

22.3%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathare United's form might have worsened.

Wazito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wazito than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wazito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mathare United - Wazito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mathare United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wazito is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wazito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
20.02.21	Bidco United - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
08.02.21	Mathare United - Nzoia United	1:0 ✺
04.02.21	Mathare United - Western Stima	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Tusker - Mathare United	1:0 ✺
27.01.21	Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTLL
- Wazito FC
Kenyan Premier League
05.02.21	Tusker - Wazito	1:0 ✺
29.01.21	Wazito - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0 ✺
22.01.21	Wazito - Nzoia United	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Bidco United - Wazito	1:2 ✺
09.01.21	AFC Leopards - Wazito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
05.10.19	Mathare United - Wazito	2:2
14.07.18	Mathare United - Wazito	3:3
21.04.18	Wazito - Mathare United	1:0

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