Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Tusker		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	1.92	3	3.9
	1.94	2.98	4.2
	1.79	3.06	4.98	Watch
	1.93	3.13	3.84	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.13)	3 ↑ (2.94)	4.09 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
47.1%

Draw
30.5%

Mathare United
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tusker - Mathare United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Mathare United (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tusker will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tusker will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tusker (votes: 3 - 75%). Mathare United (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 3.

Tusker might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
27.09.25	Posta Rangers - Tusker	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	7:1 ✺
14.05.25	Talanta - Tusker	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Tusker - Muranga Seal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
26.09.25	Kenya CB - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Mathare United - Bandari	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
14.05.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
27.04.25	Mathare United - Tusker	2:1
07.12.24	Tusker - Mathare United	2:0
12.04.23	Mathare United - Tusker	0:2
18.02.23	Tusker - Mathare United	2:1
28.05.22	Mathare United - Tusker	Canceled
30.12.21	Tusker - Mathare United	4:1
20.07.21	Mathare United - Tusker	0:0

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