Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Tusker		Wazito

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.95	11
	1.23	5.6	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)	5.78 ↑ (4.5)	10.1 ↑ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
75.1%

Draw
15.9%

Wazito
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

20.2%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.2%

17.7%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Wazito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tusker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wazito than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tusker - Wazito Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tusker will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Wazito will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tusker won 3.

Tusker in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wazito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tusker could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tusker is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tusker to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tusker won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tusker won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
15.04.23	Tusker - Police FC	1:0 ✺
12.04.23	Mathare United - Tusker	0:2 ✺
09.04.23	Tusker - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	AFC Leopards - Tusker	0:1 ✺
29.03.23	Tusker - Bidco United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Wazito FC
Kenyan Premier League
12.04.23	Wazito - Nzoia United	0:3 ✺
09.04.23	Talanta - Wazito	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Wazito	2:2 ✺
16.03.23	Wazito - Nairobi City Stars	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	AFC Leopards - Wazito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
08.03.22	Wazito - Tusker	0:3
30.10.21	Tusker - Wazito	2:0
21.05.21	Wazito - Tusker	1:1
05.02.21	Tusker - Wazito	1:0
23.02.20	Tusker - Wazito	1:1
11.12.19	Wazito - Tusker	0:1
17.06.18	Tusker - Wazito	1:1

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