Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Matlock Town		York City

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	3.25	3.55	1.9
	3.4	3.65	1.84
	3.34	3.95	1.95
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.5	3.84	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (5.15)	3.67 ↓ (5)	1.88 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
26.4%

Draw
25%

York City
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

18.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

10.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matlock Town's performance.

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matlock Town - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Matlock is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches York is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

York could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

York will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.12.21	Stalybridge Celtic - Matlock Town	0:2 ✺
04.12.21	Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
30.11.21	Matlock Town - Marske United	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.11.21	Morpeth Town - Matlock Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Rushall Olympic - Matlock Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTW
- York City
English National League North
11.12.21	York City - Chorley	1:1 ✺
07.12.21	Gateshead - York City	2:0 ✺
04.12.21	Guiseley - York City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	York City - Blyth Spartans	1:0 ✺
English National League North
20.11.21	York City - Kettering Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWL

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