Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Matlock Town		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.6
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.6	4.3	4.58
	1.61	4.31	4.58
	1.56	4.05	4.7
	1.57	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	4.11 ↑ (3.95)	4.66 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
58.1%

Draw
22.3%

Stafford Rangers
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

21.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Stafford Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 4.

Recent matches Matlock is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stafford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matlock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Matlock have a series of guest games.

In this match Matlock is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Matlock won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Ilkeston - Matlock Town	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Matlock Town - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	United of Manchester - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
21.11.23	Guiseley - Matlock Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWL
- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	4:0 ✺
23.12.23	United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
19.12.23	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City	2:4 ✺
12.12.23	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Stafford Rangers - Matlock Town	2:4
14.01.23	Stafford Rangers - Matlock Town	0:2
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers	1:0
English NPL Premier Division
06.09.22	Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers	3:1
04.12.21	Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers	2:3
26.09.20	Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers	2:0
24.08.19	Stafford Rangers - Matlock Town	0:1

Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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