Match Info
ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 20Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday
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Morpeth Town |
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Matlock Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
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 |
2.24 |
3.45 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.38 |
3.58 |
2.69 |
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 |
2.34 |
3.6 |
2.78 |
 Watch |
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2.38 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.32 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
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2.24 |
3.45 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.45) |
3.44
(3.44) |
2.67 ↑
(2.47) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Morpeth Town
39.4% | Draw
26.4% | Matlock Town
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Morpeth Town - Matlock Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 9', 0 - 1, Gibson M. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Milambo J. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 3, Thompson J. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 3, Bollado N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 3, Hickey J. ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 3, Bollado N. ⚽,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 16).Last 5 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 1. One and the other team get a very uncertain game. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1). Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Matlock Town - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 23.12.23 | Matlock Town - Morpeth Town | 1:1 | | 19.08.23 | Morpeth Town - Matlock Town | 3:3 | | 07.01.23 | Matlock Town - Morpeth Town | 2:2 | | 20.08.22 | Morpeth Town - Matlock Town | 2:0 | | 02.04.22 | Matlock Town - Morpeth Town | 0:0 | | 20.11.21 | Morpeth Town - Matlock Town | 0:0 | | 03.03.20 | Matlock Town - Morpeth Town | 1:1 |
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