Match Info
Paulista B - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 4 July 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Matonense |
|
Assisense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.20 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.17 |
3.13 |
3.03 |
|
 |
2.02 |
3.3 |
3.39 |
Watch |
 |
2.14 |
3.05 |
3 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.38 |
3.38 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.68) |
3.21 ↓ (3.65) |
3.21 ↓ (4.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Matonense 43.7% | Draw 28.2% | Assisense 28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matonense's form might have worsened.Assisense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Assisense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Assisense than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Assisense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Matonense - Assisense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Fernando J. S. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.Matonense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Assisense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Matonense is a strong favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;