Match Info

Paulista B - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Matonense		Flamengo de Guarulhos

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.00	2.20
	3.02	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.04	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.42)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.23 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matonense
30.2%

Draw
29.4%

Flamengo de Guarulhos
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matonense's form might have worsened.

Flamengo de Guarulhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo de Guarulhos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo de Guarulhos than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo de Guarulhos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matonense - Flamengo de Guarulhos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

Matonense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flamengo SP is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Matonense
Brazilian Paulista B
04.07.26	Matonense - Assisense	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Assisense - Matonense	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Matonense - Mogi Mirim	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Matonense - São Carlos	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Santacruzense - Matonense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWTW
- Flamengo de Guarulhos
Brazilian Paulista B
04.07.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Flamengo de Guarulhos	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Flamengo de Guarulhos	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos - Paulinia FU	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Sporting Paulinense - Flamengo de Guarulhos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWW

Matonense - Flamengo de Guarulhos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide