Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 16

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Sunpro Alwin (Matsumoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Matsumoto Yamaga		Fujieda MYFC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.45	Watch
	1.99	3.22	3.92
	1.97	3.24	3.93	Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.75
	1.93	3.18	3.76	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
46.8%

Draw
28.6%

Fujieda MYFC
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Fujieda MYFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Matsumoto Yamaga - Fujieda MYFC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Tomizawa M. (G) 25. Shirai T. 43. Kaneko K. 16. Miyabe T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 2. Oda I. 46. Yasunaga R. 30. Sawazaki R. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 9. Kato T.	21. Jones R. (G) 2. Nagano S. 5. Kusumoto T. 3. Suzuki S. 19. Kondo Y. 17. Okazawa K. 14. Makino T. 13. Nakamura Y. 8. Asakura R. 10. Kikui Y. 11. Manabe H.
Substitutes
38. Fujieda K. 39. Inoue A. 23. Koma R. (G) 36. Matsumura G. 27. Ninomiya J. 24. Ogawa D. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 19. Tanaka S.	22. Hisadomi R. 23. Kajikawa R. 29. Kanda H. 26. Kawamoto T. 31. Kurisu D. (G) 7. Matsuki S. 25. Nakamura R. 28. Omori K. 15. Sugita M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Manabe H. 🟨,
45', Miki J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kondo Y. ↓, Matsuki S. ↑,
66', Sawazaki R. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
66', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
70', Asakura R. ↓, Kajikawa R. ↑,
74', Shirai T. 🟨,
83', Kikui Y. ↓, Kawamoto T. ↑,
83', Oda I. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
90+1', Murakoshi K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Kajikawa R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Ogawa D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kawamoto T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Miyabe T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Okazawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yasunaga R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Suzuki S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Matsumoto Yamaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matsumoto Yamaga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Gifu - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Fujieda MYFC - Fukushima United	1:2 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Consadole Sapporo - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	1:2 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
14.02.26	Fujieda MYFC - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0
Japan J3 League
09.10.22	Fujieda MYFC - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
11.06.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fujieda MYFC	2:0

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