The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 63.3%
Draw 21.9%
Nagano Parceiro 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
22.7%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
22.2%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagano Parceiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
Matsumoto Yamaga will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Koma R. (G) 25. Shirai T. 43. Kaneko K. 16. Miyabe T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 2. Oda I. 46. Yasunaga R. 30. Sawazaki R. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 9. Kato T.
1. Tajiri K. (G) 24. Watanabe Z. 3. Tomita K. 13. Tsukegi Y. 25. Tanaka K. 30. Nojima K. 46. Koga S. 6. Hasegawa H. 8. Kondo T. 11. Shin K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Substitutes
38. Fujieda K. 39. Inoue A. 1. Kambayashi G. (G) 36. Matsumura G. 27. Ninomiya J. 24. Ogawa D. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 19. Tanaka S.
4. Gyotoku E. 5. Hasegawa Y. 15. Higuchi K. 16. Ishii K. 17. Kutsuna K. 21. Nakano K. (G) 9. Osaki S. 51. Shimizu S. 10. Yamanaka R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Miyabe T. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
45+2', Fukazawa Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Hasegawa H. ⚽,
66', Shin K. ↓, Shimizu S. ↑,
66', Nojima K. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
70', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
70', Yasunaga R. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
81', Murakoshi K. 🟨,
83', Koga S. ↓, Hasegawa Y. ↑,
83', Higuchi D. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
83', Matsumura G. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
85', Oda I. 🟨,
89', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
89', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1.
Recent performances by Matsumoto Yamaga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nagano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Matsumoto Yamaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Matsumoto Yamaga is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
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Koma R. (G) 
