The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Consadole Sapporo 41%
Draw 27.9%
Matsumoto Yamaga 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
26.3%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
27.5%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Consadole Sapporo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Consadole Sapporo - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Tagawa T. (G) 2. Takao R. 47. Nishino S. 15. Ieizumi R. 3. Park Min-Gyu 18. Kido S. 31. Horigome Y. 19. Puethong T. 27. Arano T. 7. Sarachat S. 20. Bakayoko A.
23. Koma R. (G) 25. Shirai T. 43. Kaneko K. 16. Miyabe T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 2. Oda I. 36. Matsumura G. 30. Sawazaki R. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 9. Kato T.
Substitutes
11. Aoki R. 13. Horigome Y. 39. Kawahara H. 28. Okada Y. 23. Omori S. 25. Osaki L. 22. Safo K. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 14. Tanaka K.
38. Fujieda K. 39. Inoue A. 1. Kambayashi G. (G) 44. Lee T. 27. Ninomiya J. 24. Ogawa D. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 19. Tanaka S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Kato T. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Ieizumi R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
58', Matsumura G. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
62', Sarachat S. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Inoue A. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Bakayoko A. ⚽,
79', Higuchi D. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
80', Horigome Y. ↓, Kawahara H. ↑,
80', Arano T. ↓, Okada Y. ↑,
89', Bakayoko A. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
90+3', Sawazaki R. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 1.
Consadole Sapporo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Matsumoto Yamaga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Consadole Sapporo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Consadole Sapporo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Consadole Sapporo - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.