The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 35.1%
Draw 28.2%
Gifu 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.8%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
30.2%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Gifu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Koma R. (G) 36. Matsumura G. 25. Shirai T. 16. Miyabe T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 2. Oda I. 46. Yasunaga R. 30. Sawazaki R. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 9. Kato T.
31. Serantes J. (G) 23. Toyama R. 27. Haneda K. 4. Kai K. 7. Mun In-Ju 6. Fukuta A. 9. Nakamura S. 77. Yamaya Y. 17. Kawamoto R. 8. Araki D. 18. Wade M.
Substitutes
38. Fujieda K. 50. Hayakawa K. 39. Inoue A. 33. Kim J. H. (G) 27. Ninomiya J. 24. Ogawa D. 22. Saso K. 19. Tanaka S. 31. Watanabe N.
21. Fabio Azevedo 85. Hakozaki T. 39. Izumisawa J. 5. Kato S. 10. Kita R. 26. Ogushi S. 14. Oiji Y. 51. Suganuma K. (G) 15. Yamada N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Wade M. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Murakoshi K. ⚽, Miyabe T. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Wade M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yamaya Y. ↓, Ogushi S. ↑,
55', Toyama R. 🟨,
58', Kai K. 🟨,
59', 2 - 2, Oda I. ⚽, Sawazaki R. (A),
69', Nakamura S. 🟨,
71', Wade M. ↓, Fabio Azevedo ↑,
75', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
82', Araki D. ↓, Izumisawa J. ↑,
82', Mun In-Ju ↓, Oiji Y. ↑,
84', Sawazaki R. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
88', Kawamoto R. ↓, Yamada N. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Murakoshi K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fabio Azevedo (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fujieda K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ogushi S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Fukazawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yamada N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Oda I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fukuta A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shirai T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nakamura S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Yasunaga R. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Toyama R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
In recent matches, Matsumoto Yamaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gifu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Recently, Matsumoto Yamaga has had a series of away games.
Recently, Gifu has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Matsumoto Yamaga - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Japan
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Koma R. (G) 
Serantes J. (G) 
Mun In-Ju 
Kim J. H. (G) 
Fabio Azevedo 
