Match Info

Date: 20 June 2020, Saturday


	Mattersburg		St. Pölten

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.87	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.43	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.7
	2.55	3.62	2.76
	2.45	3.5	2.62	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)	3.45 ↑ (3.42)	2.73 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattersburg
38.3%

Draw
27.3%

St. Pölten
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

19.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattersburg than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattersburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pölten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	37.5%	8.3%

Mattersburg - St. Pölten Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mattersburg will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). St. Pölten will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mattersburg: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Mattersburg
Austrian Bundesliga
16.06.20	St. Pölten - Mattersburg	1:0 ✺
13.06.20	Mattersburg - Austria Wien	1:4 ✺
09.06.20	Swarovski Tirol - Mattersburg	1:1 ✺
06.06.20	Admira - Mattersburg	0:2 ✺
02.06.20	Mattersburg - Rheindorf Altach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWT
- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian Bundesliga
16.06.20	St. Pölten - Mattersburg	1:0 ✺
13.06.20	Rheindorf Altach - St. Pölten	2:0 ✺
09.06.20	St. Pölten - Admira	0:3 ✺
06.06.20	St. Pölten - Austria Wien	1:1 ✺
02.06.20	Swarovski Tirol - St. Pölten	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
16.06.20	St. Pölten - Mattersburg	1:0
30.11.19	St. Pölten - Mattersburg	0:0
Austrian OFB Cup
24.09.19	St. Pölten - Mattersburg	2:1
Austrian Bundesliga
24.08.19	Mattersburg - St. Pölten	0:1
17.03.19	St. Pölten - Mattersburg	0:1
21.10.18	Mattersburg - St. Pölten	2:0
21.04.18	Mattersburg - St. Pölten	1:1

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