Match Info

Mocambola - Round 1

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio do Maxaquene (Maputo)


	Maxaquene		Costa do Sol

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.68	2.78
	25.00	13.28	1.00	Watch
	2.65	2.59	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.11 ↑ (2.67)	6.18 ↑ (2.64)	2.22 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxaquene
13.9%

Draw
22.7%

Costa do Sol
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

34.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxaquene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxaquene's form might have worsened.

Costa do Sol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Costa do Sol's recent form is better than expected.

Maxaquene - Costa do Sol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

In this match, Costa do Sol is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maxaquene won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maxaquene won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Costa do Sol	19	11	4	4	26:12	14	37
14	Maxaquene	19	1	7	11	8:24	-16	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxaquene
Mozambique Moçambola
08.12.19	Maxaquene - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:0 ✺
10.11.19	Maxaquene - Ferroviário da Beira	1:0 ✺
31.08.19	Maxaquene - Costa do Sol	0:0 ✺
29.08.15	Maxaquene - Desportivo de Nacala	1:2 ✺
02.08.15	Maxaquene - Costa do Sol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTLW
- CD Costa do Sol
Mozambique Moçambola
24.11.25	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Chingale de Tete - Costa do Sol	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Baía de Pemba - Costa do Sol	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário da Beira	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Costa do Sol - UD Songo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
31.08.19	Maxaquene - Costa do Sol	0:0
02.08.15	Maxaquene - Costa do Sol	1:0

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