Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Mazarrón		Águilas B

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.55
	1.69	3.38	4.45
	3.07	3.66	2.07	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.75
	1.67	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.7)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	4.12 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazarrón
48.4%

Draw
28.3%

Águilas B
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

29.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazarrón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Águilas B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazarrón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas B than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águilas B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mazarrón - Águilas B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
49', 2 - 2, ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Mazarrón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Águilas B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Águilas B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mazarrón is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mazarrón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aguilas FC B	5	0	5	0	5:5	0	5
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.04.26	UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Muleño - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mazarrón - El Palmar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Mazarrón - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWLW
- Águilas FC B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.04.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Águilas B	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Águilas B - Unión Molinense	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Águilas B	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Águilas B - Santomera	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Caravaca - Águilas B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.01.26	Águilas B - Mazarrón	1:3

Mazarrón - Águilas B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide