Match Info

Date: 21 September 2020, Monday


	Mačva Šabac		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.9
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	3.45	3.15	1.9
	3.6	3.4	1.88
	3.44	3.66	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	1.9 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mačva Šabac
25.8%

Draw
26.7%

Bačka Topola
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.6%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

20.4%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mačva Šabac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mačva Šabac than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mačva Šabac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bačka Topola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mačva Šabac - Bačka Topola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 14).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Bačka Topola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bačka Topola will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mačva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mačva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mačva Šabac
Serbian Superliga
13.09.20	Proleter Novi Sad - Mačva Šabac	0:0 ✺
30.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Spartak Subotica	0:4 ✺
23.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Novi Pazar	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Radnički Niš - Mačva Šabac	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	Mačva Šabac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTLL
- TSC Bačka Topola
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Bačka Topola - FCSB	6:7 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
12.09.20	Bačka Topola - Radnički Niš	1:3 ✺
30.08.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Petrocub-Hîncești - Bačka Topola	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
21.08.20	Bačka Topola - Metalac	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
26.02.20	Mačva Šabac - Bačka Topola	0:1
15.09.19	Bačka Topola - Mačva Šabac	0:0

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