Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday


	Mbeya City		Polisi Tanzania

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.8	4.75
	1.95	2.8	4.05
	1.85	2.65	4.7
	1.92	2.58	5.08
	1.94	2.39	6.1
	1.87	2.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	2.65 ↓ (2.76)	4.91 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya City
47.7%

Draw
34%

Polisi Tanzania
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

32.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Polisi Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mbeya City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polisi Tanzania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Mbeya City - Polisi Tanzania Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mbeya City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Polisi Tanzania will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mbeya City won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Mbeya City is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mbeya City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mbeya City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
08.10.22	Mbeya City - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City	2:2 ✺
13.09.22	Mbeya City - Azam	0:1 ✺
09.09.22	Prisons - Mbeya City	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Singida Fountain Gate - Mbeya City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLTL
- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
08.10.22	Kagera Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Polisi Tanzania - Geita Gold	1:2 ✺
19.09.22	Ruvu Shooting - Polisi Tanzania	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Coastal Union - Polisi Tanzania	0:0 ✺
21.08.22	Polisi Tanzania - Kinondoni MC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
15.05.22	Mbeya City - Polisi Tanzania	0:0
27.12.21	Polisi Tanzania - Mbeya City	0:0
21.04.21	Polisi Tanzania - Mbeya City	0:1
05.11.20	Mbeya City - Polisi Tanzania	1:1
10.07.20	Mbeya City - Polisi Tanzania	2:1
03.01.20	Polisi Tanzania - Mbeya City	0:0

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