Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Meizhou Hakka		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.09	3.45	3.3
	2.12	3.5	3.55
	2.06	3.43	3.47	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.11	3.64	3.36	Watch
	2.09	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
44.6%

Draw
27.1%

Shenzhen Peng City
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

24%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meizhou Hakka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Meizhou Hakka (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Shenzhen Peng City (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 50%). Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Guo Quanbo (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian 11. Morris D. 20. Wang Jia'nan 28. Zhong Haoran 4. Jocic B. 16. Yang Chaosheng 10. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 9. Cheukoua M.	1. Ji J. (G) 2. Zhang Wei 23. Yang Yiming 20. Dugalic R. 5. Hu Ruibao 16. Li Zhi 28. Zhang Yudong 12. Zhang Xiaobin 36. Kartsev E. 19. Orr M. 10. Sarkaria M.
Substitutes
15. Chen Xuhuang 14. Ji Shengpan 7. Li Ning 26. Liu Yun 31. Rao Weihui 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 5. Tian Ziyi 21. Wei Xiangxin 18. Wei Zhiwei 19. Wen Da 17. Yang Yihu 24. Zhang Hao	27. Abduweli Behram 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 56. Jiang W. 4. Jiang Zhipeng 21. Nan Song 13. Peng Peng (G) 46. Shen H. 9. Tiago Leonco 29. Wang Qiao 22. Zhang Yujie 14. Zhao Shi (G) 8. Zhou Dadi
Coaches
Ristic M.	Lattanzio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Yue Tze-Nam 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sarkaria M. ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Henrique (Pen),
61', Hu Ruibao ↓, Wang Qiao ↑,
61', Li Zhi ↓, Jiang Zhipeng ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽,
75', Morris D. ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
75', Cheukoua M. ↓, Liu Yun ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Liu Yun ⚽,
78', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
83', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
86', Orr M. ↓, Zhou Dadi ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Meizhou Hakka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Meizhou Hakka will have a mini benefit in this match.

There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Meizhou Hakka won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.3:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Meizhou Hakka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
16.04.25	Zhejiang Professional - Meizhou Hakka	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1 ✺
02.04.25	Shanghai Port - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shandong Taishan	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLL
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
15.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen Peng City	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:3 ✺
01.04.25	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
20.10.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Meizhou Hakka	0:0
21.05.24	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0
Chinese Jia League
09.06.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Meizhou Hakka	0:0
14.05.21	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0

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