Match Info

League One - Round 13

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)


	Meizhou Hakka		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.25
	2.85	3.45	2.20	Watch
	2.73	3.60	2.44
	2.65	3.5	2.46	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.40
	2.63	3.30	2.33	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.85)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
34.1%

Draw
26.7%

Changchun Yatai
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25.5%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: Changchun Yatai will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wang H. (G) 22. Liao J. 26. Yu Wai-Lim 5. Pellenard T. 17. Yang Yihu (C) 31. Feng Gang 6. Wang Haoran 33. Zhu Baojie 24. Sakhi H. 16. Yang Chaosheng 10. Triboulet V.	13. Dong Yifan (G) 22. Benhaddouche C. 27. Reiner C. 14. JIng Boxi 20. Fan Houtai 25. Chen Xuhuang 6. Li Qiang 3. Du Kaile 29. Tan Long 9. Omoijuanfo O. (C) 7. Salazar J.
Substitutes
13. Lai J. 3. Liang Jiahao 25. Li Jiarun 28. Li Weijia 15. Luo H. 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 29. Sun Xiaobin 1. Wang Zehao (G) 20. Wen Z. 27. Zhang Enqi 34. Zhang J.	1. An Zhicheng (G) 2. Chen Guoliang 21. He Xin 35. Jiang Zilei 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 18. Lu Pin 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 38. Sun Xipeng 16. Tudi Dilyimit 37. Zhou Dadi
Coaches
Zhu Jiong	Yan Feng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Triboulet V. ⚽, Sakhi H. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Yu Wai-Lim (Own goal),
38', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
39', Feng Gang ↓, Lai J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Benhaddouche C. ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
66', Du Kaile ↓, Zhou Dadi ↑,
71', JIng Boxi ↓, Chen Guoliang ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Salazar J. ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
76', Wang Haoran ↓, Zhang Enqi ↑,
76', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Li Jiarun ↑,
83', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
83', Salazar J. ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
84', Pellenard T. ↓, Sun Xiaobin ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 3.

Meizhou Hakka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Changchun Yatai's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Meizhou Hakka has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
14	Meizhou Hakka	25	7	4	14	25:50	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Jia League
27.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Wuxi Wugou - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dingnan United	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.05.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTTWL
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
27.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Juniors	0:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.05.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Changchun Yatai	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
16.08.25	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	1:0
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3
17.08.24	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	2:1
26.04.24	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	0:1
08.08.23	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	4:2
10.05.23	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	2:4
23.12.22	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:0

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