Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Bao'an Stadium (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Shenzhen Peng City		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.71	4	4.3
	1.7	3.94	4.51	Watch
	2	3.4	3.4
	1.73	4.04	4.1	Watch
	1.71	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.14)	3.84 ↑ (3.54)	4.05 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Peng City
52.5%

Draw
24.4%

Changchun Yatai
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Changchun Yatai (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shenzhen Peng City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 3 - 60%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ji J. (G) 22. Zhang Yujie 23. Yang Yiming 20. Dugalic R. 5. Hu Ruibao 4. Jiang Zhipeng 28. Zhang Yudong 12. Zhang Xiaobin 36. Kartsev E. 11. Garcia E. 19. Orr M.	23. Wu Yake (G) 17. He Yiran 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 20. Xuan Z. 19. Xu Yue 6. Zhang Huachen 10. Omoijuanfo O. 8. Yao Xuchen 29. Tan Long 9. Beric R.
Substitutes
34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 56. Jiang W. 16. Li Zhi 21. Nan Song 13. Peng Peng (G) 10. Sarkaria M. 46. Shen H. 9. Tiago Leonco 29. Wang Qiao 2. Zhang Wei 14. Zhao Shi (G) 8. Zhou Dadi	2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 44. Fan Chao 33. Sun Guoliang 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 16. Tudi Dilyimit 3. Wang Yaopeng 22. Wang Yu 28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 24. Yan Zhiyu 37. Zhao Yingjie 7. Zhou Junchen
Coaches
Lattanzio C.	Xie Hui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Zhang Yudong ⚽, Orr M. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Tan Long ⚽, Xuan Z. (A),
34', Sunzu S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
60', Xu Yue ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
61', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
61', He Yiran ↓, Yan Zhiyu ↑,
61', Zhang Huachen ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
64', Garcia E. ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Sarkaria M. ⚽, Li Zhi (A),
75', Orr M. ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
75', Kartsev E. ↓, Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↑,
82', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Zhou Junchen ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Shenzhen Peng City will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
11.04.25	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen Peng City	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:3 ✺
01.04.25	Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun	3:4 ✺
01.03.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dalian Young Boy - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Shanghai Port - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
21.07.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	2:1
01.05.24	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
Chinese Jia League
14.10.20	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
26.09.20	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	1:3
Chinese FA Cup
01.05.19	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 penalties
24.04.18	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	2:1 penalties

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