Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 26

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Knights Stadium (Melbourne)


	Melbourne Knights		Altona Magic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.1
	2.78	3.7	2.08	Watch
	2.91	3.89	2.17
	5.11	4.80	1.49	Watch
	2.82	4.27	2.09	Watch
	2.86	4.1	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.51)	4.06 ↓ (4.25)	1.99 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Knights
29.3%

Draw
23.2%

Altona Magic
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

21.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

20.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altona Magic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altona Magic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melbourne Knights will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Altona Magic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Hatzopoulos P. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Frangie A. ⚽,
29', 0 - 3, Hatzopoulos P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 3, Bramwell C. ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, ⚽,
76', 1 - 5, Habib B. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 11).

Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Knights won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Altona Magic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Knights won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Knights won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
16.08.25	Dandenong City - Melbourne Knights	7:1 ✺
01.08.25	Melbourne Knights - Hume City	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Dandenong Thunder - Melbourne Knights	4:0 ✺
18.07.25	Preston Lions - Melbourne Knights	3:0 ✺
11.07.25	Melbourne Knights - Oakleigh Cannons	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLLT
- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
16.08.25	Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks	4:0 ✺
01.08.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Altona Magic	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Altona Magic - Avondale	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Altona Magic - Heidelberg United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
10.05.25	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	4:0
19.07.24	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	2:1
20.04.24	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	1:0
24.06.23	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	3:2
24.03.23	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	3:1
12.08.22	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	1:1
07.05.22	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	1:0

Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide