Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 22

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Preston Lions		Melbourne Knights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.2
	1.7	3.7	3.95	Watch
	1.71	3.89	4.32
	1.67	3.80	4.71	Watch
	1.6	4	4.4
	1.67	3.68	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.34)	3.88 ↓ (4.95)	4.33 ↓ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston Lions
55.2%

Draw
23.6%

Melbourne Knights
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

18.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

17.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preston Lions's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preston Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Preston Lions - Melbourne Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

Preston Lions is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne Knights has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Preston Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Preston Lions is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Preston Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
06.07.25	Preston Lions - Port Melbourne Sharks	5:0 ✺
27.06.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Preston Lions	4:0 ✺
22.06.25	Preston Lions - Avondale	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	South Melbourne - Preston Lions	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Preston Lions - Heidelberg United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTLL
- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
11.07.25	Melbourne Knights - Oakleigh Cannons	3:3 ✺
06.07.25	St Albans Dinamo - Melbourne Knights	4:2 ✺
30.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Melbourne Knights - Green Gully	1:4 ✺
13.06.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Knights	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
04.04.25	Melbourne Knights - Preston Lions	0:1

Preston Lions - Melbourne Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide