Match Info
NPL Victoria - Round 25Date: 16 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Paisley Park (Melbourne)
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Altona Magic |
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Port Melbourne Sharks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.05 |
3.6 |
3 |
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1.92 |
3.45 |
3.35 |
Watch |
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1.97 |
3.62 |
3.56 |
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1.77 |
3.25 |
4.94 |
Watch |
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1.94 |
3.67 |
3.56 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.42) |
3.52 ↓
(4.7) |
3.68 ↓
(6.34) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Altona Magic
48.2% | Draw
26.5% | Port Melbourne Sharks
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altona Magic's form might have worsened.Port Melbourne Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Melbourne Sharks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Melbourne Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Frangie A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 74', 2 - 0, Frangie A. ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 0, Habib B. ⚽,
- 85', 4 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 1.Altona Magic has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Port Melbourne has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Altona Magic is seen as the favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Altona Magic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Victoria | | | 02.05.25 | Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic | 3:3 | | 29.06.24 | Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks | 1:0 | | 23.03.24 | Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic | 1:1 | | 19.08.23 | Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic | 4:0 | | 13.05.23 | Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks | 0:2 | | 02.07.22 | Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks | 1:4 | | 02.04.22 | Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic | 1:0 |
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