Match Info
Victoria Premier League - Round 12Date: 5 May 2025, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Kingston City |
|
Melbourne City Youth |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.75 |
4.6 |
1.46 |
|
 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
1.47 |
|
 |
4.4 |
6.25 |
1.46 |
|
 |
4.39 |
5.81 |
1.45 |
 Watch |
 |
5.31 |
4.95 |
1.41 |
|
 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
1.47 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.71 ↑
(4.1) |
5.24 ↓
(5.57) |
1.45 ↓
(1.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kingston City
19.5% | Draw
17.5% | Melbourne City Youth
63% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kingston City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Melbourne City Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Kingston City - Melbourne City Youth Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90', 🟥,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).Kingston City has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Melbourne City Youth is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Melbourne City Youth is seen as the favorite. We predict that Melbourne City Youth will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kingston City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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