Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 10

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday


	Melbourne Victory Youth		Preston Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.8	1.87
	3.1	3.8	1.94
	3.26	4.03	1.96	Watch
	3.32	3.8	1.87
	3.1	3.8	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.31)	3.85 (3.85)	1.92 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory Youth
28.5%

Draw
23.8%

Preston Lions
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

23.7%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

23.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory Youth's form might have worsened.

Preston Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Preston Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Preston Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Victory Youth will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Preston will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Victory Youth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Victory Youth (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Victory Youth (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Victory Youth (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Radimisis J. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Preston Lions could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Preston Lions will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Victory Youth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Including matches at home between the teams Victory Youth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
07.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - St Albans Dinamo	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Oakleigh Cannons	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLWWL
- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
04.04.25	Melbourne Knights - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
21.03.25	Preston Lions - Oakleigh Cannons	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Avondale - Preston Lions	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
27.05.24	Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions	2:2

Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide